A recent Quinnipiac Poll of New Yorkers may appear at a glance to contain favorable news for presumptive Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, but a closer inspection and context surrounding the numbers actually revealed some bad news for the former secretary of state.
The poll showed Clinton leading presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump by 12 points, 47 percent to 35 percent.
While that certainly didn’t look good for Trump, bear in mind that Clinton calls New York her home state, and served as the state’s junior senator for eight years.
It also must be pointed out that President Barack Obama won the solidly blue state by a margin of more than 25 points in both the 2008 and 2012 elections.
Furthermore, while Clinton held a significant lead among women voters, she was beaten by Trump when it came to men. Likewise, while Clinton led among voters in the big city, Trump was ahead with upstate voters, with the two essentially tied with the suburban voters in between.
Both candidates were largely viewed unfavorably, though there was still time for those numbers to shift, depending upon how the campaigns continue to play out. How the candidates react to various current events, such as terrorism, the volatile economy and strained relations on the domestic front can make a significant difference in November’s general election results.
Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed that he will be able to put the state of New York into play for the GOP during the general election, something that hasn’t been done since President Ronald Reagan was re-elected in 1984.
Though he certainly still has work to do in order to make that claim a reality, he is closer to doing so than any of the other Republican candidates in the past 30 years, and he has Clinton’s abject weakness and untrustworthiness to credit for that.